Expectancy
Pronunciation: ex-PEK-tun-see
The average result you can expect per trade over many trades.
Definition
Expectancy is what an average trade earns or loses, taking both win rate and the size of wins and losses into account. A positive expectancy means that, over a large number of trades, the approach tends to make money; negative means it tends to lose. It is a more complete picture than win rate alone.
Example
If your average trade nets +0.3R after many trades, your expectancy is +0.3R per trade — small per trade, but it adds up over volume.
Related terms
Where you see this in the app
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